The 2024 college football season is still a few months away, but that's a positive if you care about win totals, potential values, and taking your chances now.
Think of it this way. If you're an under player and something happens to the star quarterback in fall camp, you're not getting a better win total line than you'll find right now.
So out of the 18 teams - welcome to the fun, Oregon, UCLA, USC, and Washington - which win totals from BetMGM seem a bit off?
It's about schedules, schedules, and SCHEDULES. That, and how good the teams are.
For each Big Ten team here's the preseason Win Total, along with what it should actually be set at, an early July call, and then whether or not to go over or under for each team.
Ohio State Win Total
Current Win Total: 10.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 10.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 12-0
Over or Under? OVER
Oregon Win Total
Current Win Total: 10.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 10
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 10-2
Over or Under? UNDER
Penn State Win Total
Current Win Total: 9.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 9.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 10-2
Over or Under? OVER
Michigan Win Total
Current Win Total: 9.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 9
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 9-3
Over or Under? UNDER
USC Win Total
Current Win Total: 7.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 8.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 8-4
Over or Under? OVER
Iowa Win Total
Current Win Total: 7.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 8.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 8-4
Over or Under? OVER
Washington Win Total
Current Win Total: 7.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 8
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 8-4
Over or Under (July version)? OVER
Nebraska Win Total
Current Win Total: 7.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 7
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 7-5
Over or Under? UNDER
Wisconsin Win Total
Current Win Total: 6.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 7-5
Over or Under? OVER
Maryland Win Total
Current Win Total: 7.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 7.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 7-5
Over or Under? UNDER
Indiana Win Total 5.5
Current Win Total: 5.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 5.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 5-7
Over or Under? UNDER
UCLA Win Total
Current Win Total: 5.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 6-6
Over or Under? OVER
Michigan State Win Total
Current Win Total: 5.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 7-5
Over or Under? OVER
Illinois Win Total
Current Win Total: 5.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 6-6
Over or Under? OVER
Northwestern Win Total
Current Win Total: 5.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 5-7
Over or Under? UNDER
Minnesota Win Total
Current Win Total: 4.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 6.5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 6-6
Over or Under? OVER
Purdue Win Total
Current Win Total: 4.5
What the Win Total Should Be: 5
Make a (July) Call ... Final Record: 4-8
Over or Under? UNDER