F1 2023 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix: Predictions, odds, betting tips and best bets for latest Formula One race

03-19-2023
7 min read
Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool

The pack will be looking to chase down Max Verstappen as the F1 action swings to Saudi Arabia and the Jeddah Street Circuit this weekend.

Red Bull's Dutch star dominated the field on day one as he strolled to success in Bahrain, though the 2023 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix may prove tougher.

Due to its tight and twisting nature, the Jeddah Street Circuit should see a much closer battle this time around, especially as we saw Verstappen and rival Charles Leclerc battle it out to the very end here last season. 

Formula One fans will be hoping for more of the same on Sunday. 

Ahead of the action getting underway, The Sporting News dives through all of the odds to give you the best bets and tips for the upcoming 2023 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix.

MORE: F1 2023 season predictions, odds, betting tips and best bets

F1 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2023 odds to win

As expected, two-time world champion Max Verstappen has been heavy favourite to win the 2023 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix by the bookmakers following his impressive victory last time out.

His closest competitor comes in the form of Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez, who, after a solid P2 finish on week one, will be looking to go one better here around Jeddah's winding circuit. 

Despite his DNF in Bahrain, Charles Leclerc was fancied ahead of Aston Martin's Fernando Alonso this weekend but given the Ferrari driver's ten-place grid penalty, his odds have now drifted. It's also bad news for Mercedes pair Lewis Hamilton and George Russell, who are considered rank-outsiders here. 

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), Neds (Australia) and Dafabet (India). Odds correct as of March 15. 

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Driver  BetMGM Sports
Interaction
SkyBet Neds Dafabet
Max Verstappen -200 1.52 8/15 1.50 1.50
Sergio Perez +550 6.96 5/1 6.50 6.00
Charles Leclerc +1600 15.39 16/1 16.00 11.00
Fernando Alonso +1000 12.00 9/1 11.00 9.00
Carlos Sainz +1200 12.00 12/1 13.00 15.00
Lewis Hamilton +2200 25.00 25/1 23.00 26.00
George Russell +2800 31.00 33/1 29.00 34.00
Lance Stroll +6600 85.00 50/1 67.00 67.00
Esteban Ocon +15000 331.00 300/1 151 501
Pierre Gasly +15000 320.00 300/1 151 501
Lando Norris +25000 812.00 500/1 251 1001
Valtteri Bottas +30000 331.00 300/1 301 501
Alex Albon +75000 1776.00 1500/1 751 1501
Nico Hulkenberg +100000 812.00 750/1 1001 1001
Zhou Guanyu +100000 378.00 500/1 1001 751
Kevin Magnussen +100000 812.00 750/1 1001 1001
Yuki Tsunoda +100000 2501.00 2000/1 1001 2501
Oscar Piastri +100000 1776.00 1000/1 1001 1501
Logan Sargeant +150000 1429.00 2000/1 1501 2001
Nyck de Vries +200000 2501.00 2000/1 2501 2501

F1 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2023: Best bet

  • Pick: Sergio Perez to win the Grand Prix — market without Max Verstappen
  • Odds: +150 (BetMGM)

While we think Verstappen is primed for more success here in Saudi Arabia, his teammate Perez gave a great account of himself last time out in Bahrain as he took P2.

Granted, the Mexican driver conceded a sizeable gap to Verstappen in the final standings but in the same measure, he equally finished a heathy chunk of time ahead of Aston Martin's Alonso in P3. 

Ferrari's Leclerc will be hoping to prove more of a nuisance this weekend and could scupper this bet if his car's reliability improves, but, at present, that Red Bull package seems miles ahead of its competitors and as such, Perez should be right up there again in Jeddah. 

F1 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2023: Prop bet

  • Pick: Carlos Sainz to finish on the podium
  • Odds: +175 (BetMGM)

We did originally have Charles Leclerc as our preferred pick to take a podium spot at the 2023 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix but given he has received a ten-place grid penalty for Sunday's race following his DNF two weekends ago, we're now opting to select teammate Carlos Sainz instead.

This pick arguably isn't as guaranteed as the previous one, especially as Sainz struggled for pace last time out in Bahrain, but even still, we feel that Ferrari will respond with a better weekend here.

To add, the Spaniard also took P3 around Jeddah last season which should enhance his chances of managing the same again this time around plus Aston Martin are expected to struggle a bit more around this particular track. 

If you still fancy Leclerc to come through the pack and take a top three finish, he's now priced at +250 with BetMGM. 

F1 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2023: Flier bet

  • Pick: Both Alpine drivers to take points
  • Odds: 9/4 (SkyBet)

Although it proved to be a bitterly disappointing opening race of the season for Esteban Ocon who took three time penalties last weekend, new teammate Pierre Gasly shone to finish P9 despite starting the race in last position.

That drive from P20 not only showcased Gasly's ability but it also highlighted how quick that Alpine car is in a straight line. As a result, more success for the French team could be likely in Jeddah especially with Aston Martin likely to stutter at this track given their car's design. Mercedes' poor opening race of the season could also open up more positions on the final grid for Alpine.

As for the drivers themselves, Ocon and Gasly have taken points finishes three out of four times between them in Jeddah. That included a stunning P6 finish last season for Ocon, who'll be desperate for more of the same in 2023 to get his World Drivers' Championship campaign up and running.