The second-seeded Bills host the seventh-seeded Steelers in game one of Monday's super wild-card weekend doubleheader. Both squad's enter the playoffs playing their best football, setting up a potential highly-competitive clash despite the current double-digit spread.
Searching for alternative ways to get action down on Monday's Bills-Steelers matchup outside of the traditional side and total markets? You've come to the right place! We've done our part in highlighting four valuable props on Canada's most trusted sportsbook, Sports Interaction.
[red-button widget_catalog_id="sia_en_5" link="https://sports.sportsinteraction.com/en-ca/sports/football-11/betting/usa-9/nfl-35?wm=5436739 " logo_name="SIA" game_title="NFL TIME IS BET TIME. JOIN CANADA'S SPORTSBOOK" button_text="PLAY NOW"]
[/red-button]
Without further ado, let's break down these valuable props for Bills-Steelers.
MORE: Bet the NFL playoff games on Sports Interaction now!
Best Bills-Steelers prop bets for wild-card playoff round
All odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
1. James Cook, RB, Bills — OVER 65.5 rushing yards (-120)
With Buffalo priced as double-digit favorites, if they get out to an early lead and control the game script, Cook is in position to eclipse his rushing yardage prop of 65.5. The league's third-most efficient back in terms of his expected points added (+22.2 EPA) this season has seen steady volume during the Bills' late-season surge, averaging 14.8 carries and 78.2 rushing yards per game amid Buffalo's five-game winning streak.
It helps that he's got an offensive line boasting the second-highest run block rating (73.5) paving the way, helping him rank 12th among RBs in true yards per carry (4.5). With a 20-carry ceiling that could materialize given the projected chilly conditions in Buffalo, bank on their RB1 helping his squad advance to the divisional round.
MORE BILLS-STEELERS: Betting preview | DFS lineup
2. Najee Harris, RB, Steelers — OVER 15.5 rushing attempts (-110)
Although a projected negative game script seemingly hinders Harris's chances of recording 16-plus carries, we don't expect the Steelers to deviate much from the ground game, especially in the first half. After Jaylen Warren's first-half fumble last week, there's a chance Harris dominates the backfield snap share despite the duo playing close to 50-50 snaps this season.
Harris has made the most of his usage boost over the past three weeks, averaging a whopping 24 carries per game. While his heavy run-game usage has increased, we still expect a heavy dosage of Harris runs on early downs, putting him in a position to see 16-plus carries for a fourth consecutive week.
3. Dalton Kincaid, TE, Bills — OVER 34.5 receiving yards (-110)
Kincaid did his part in helping the Bills claim the AFC East last week, hauling in seven of eight targets for 84 yards. Look for another multi-target game this Sunday, as the Bills will likely be without WR Gabe Davis after he left last week's contest with a knee injury and logged a DNP during Buffalo's Wednesday practice.
The rookie has seen the eighth-most targets among TEs (91; 5.7 p/g) as Josh Allen's safety blanket (2.2% drop rate), making for a strong OVER bet this weekend.
4. George Pickens, WR, Steelers — UNDER 36.5 receiving yards (-110)
While Pickens' stock is trending back up with Mason Rudolph under center, his season-long volatility makes it tough to back him in a game the Steelers' offense might struggle in.
Following consecutive 130-plus yard receiving efforts, Pickens laid a goose egg in Week 18, not seeing a single target. Although the rainy conditions played a role in his zero-catch, zero-yard effort, his Jekyll and Hyde nature gives us hesitation in betting his OVER against a Bills' coverage unit playing its best ball right now, ranking third in dropback EPA (-0.158) over their five-game winning streak.